Helping Clients Navigate Financial Markets

Market Highlights

  • Dow Jones Milestone: The DJIA closed at 46,108, its first-ever close above 46,000 — a significant psychological level for equity markets.

  • Goldman Sachs Outlook: GS expects no recession, with S&P 500 potentially rising another 2% by year-end following the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle.

Economy & Consumer Trends

  • Labor Market: The U6 unemployment rate rose to 8.1%, its highest since Oct 2021. This measure includes discouraged workers and involuntary part-timers, signaling hidden stress in the job market.

  • Consumer Spending: Restaurant comps softened across the board; August national foot traffic slowed 175 bps vs. July.

  • Debt & BNPL Risk: LendingTree reports 40% of BNPL users hold multiple loans, with 23% holding three or more. BlackRock warns that half of U.S. workers are struggling financially.

Global & Macro Themes

  • US Dollar & Global Investing: BlackRock is urging investors to look internationally given expectations for a weaker dollar.

  • Housing Market: Foreign buyers increased purchases of U.S. homes for the first time in eight years — a potential new demand driver.

Corporate & Industry Insights

  • Nintendo: Switch continues to sell strongly — 153M units over eight years — despite no new franchises.

  • Private Markets: Apollo, Blackstone, and KKR now have 4× AUM vs. a decade ago.

  • Public Company Reporting: Wall Street is lobbying the SEC to allow semiannual reporting instead of quarterly, which could reduce compliance costs and spur IPO activity.

  • Cybersecurity: Hackers breached NY blood centers, stealing donor health data — underlining that modern cyberattacks target sensitive personal information, not just money.

Retirement & 401(k) Trends

  • Risk-Off Shift: August saw a move from equities to conservative bonds within 401(k) portfolios.

  • Alternative Investments: Almost 50% of 401(k) participants would allocate to private equity or private credit if offered.

Price Trends & Tariff Watch

Annualized price increases (May–Aug):

  • Coffee: +28%

  • Bananas: +14.7%

  • Jewelry & Watches: +14.4%

  • TVs: +9.3%

  • Sporting Goods: +6.6%

  • Toys: +7.5% (just in time for holiday shopping)

Healthcare Cost Outlook

  • Employer Health Insurance: AON projects 9.5% cost surge in 2026 (nearly double-digit).

Fun Question

Coke or Pepsi? (A classic debate to end the week!)